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- Huge Potential Decline For US Dollar Bodes Well For Risk Assets
- Is A Santa Clause Rally On Its Way?
- Not Another Hong Kong Story…
- Dow Tumbles Right On Cue
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Articles in the ‘Blog’ Category
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Gold Breaks Down Through Support As US Dollar Rallies On Eurozone Woes
Ben Mountifield, December 13th, 2011
Gold has broken out of its multi-week symmetrical triangle consolidation pattern to the downside, breaking through the uptrend support line at the psychologically important $1,700 level. The yellow metal’s fall was triggered by events in the Eurozone which sent the Euro sharply lower versus the US Dollar. Chart courtesy of
Posted in Blog, Currencies, Featured, Monetary Policy, Precious Metals, Technical Analysis
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ECB Starts Down Dangerous Road
Ben Mountifield, December 12th, 2011
It took a long time for the buyers of Europe’s debt to throw in the towel but back in July and August, as the European debt crisis deepened, they did so. The lack of buyers for Spanish and Italian bonds (among others) caused yields to jump to dangerous levels and
Posted in Blog, Bonds, Featured, Fundamental Analysis, Monetary Policy
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The New Eurozone Map
Ben Mountifield, December 8th, 2011
So far in 2011 there have been no less than ten Eurozone finance minister meetings and summits. If the leaders of these seventeen nations don’t come up with around €2 trillion pretty soon they will need to issue a new map. Fortunately I’ve saved them the bother. In my
Posted in Blog, Featured, Monetary Policy, News
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Central Banks Scramble To Avoid Credit Crunch II
Ben Mountifield, December 7th, 2011
Last week the US Federal Reserve together with the European Central Bank (ECB), the Bank of England (BoE) and the central banks of Canada, Japan and Switzerland took coordinated action to backstop troubled Eurozone banks. The move cuts the cost of emergency dollar loans to banks struggling to get funding
Posted in Blog, Featured, Monetary Policy, News
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Gold Forms A Potentially Bullish Symmetrical Triangle Pattern
Ben Mountifield, December 6th, 2011
As this chart shows, gold has traced out a potentially bullish symmetrical triangle pattern – one which typically leads to a dramatic upside breakout. The symmetrical triangle pattern is sometimes referred to as a ‘coiled spring’ and often marks a continuation of the current trend (which for gold is obviously
Posted in Blog, Featured, Precious Metals, Technical Analysis, Tips, Ways to bet
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Huge Potential Decline For US Dollar Bodes Well For Risk Assets
Ben Mountifield, December 5th, 2011
The fact that the US Dollar Index has formed a potentially bearish medium-term double top bodes well for commodity prices as well as other US Dollar denominated assets such as gold and US equities. As this chart shows, the US Dollar Index has formed a potentially bearish technical pattern known
Posted in Blog, Commodities, Currencies, Energy, Featured, Precious Metals, Stocks, Technical Analysis, Tips
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Is A Santa Clause Rally On Its Way?
Adam Tremaine, December 2nd, 2011
With the US Dollar rolling over and some bullish numbers coming out of the US there is a good chance that we will see a so-called ‘Santa Clause’ rally, with US stocks dragging the other major indices higher. The chart below shows the US Dollar’s recent decline. It also shows
Posted in Blog, Currencies, Featured, Stocks, Technical Analysis
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Not Another Hong Kong Story…
Zak Vora, November 25th, 2011
25/11/11Years – Mids USD HKD AUD NZD SGD EUR 1 0.75 +1 0.54 +2 3.69 -3 2.51 +1 0.33 +1 1.60 +0 2 0.81 +2 0.66 +2 3.65 -4 2.66 +2 0.53 +1 1.58 +1 3 0.91 +6 0.84 +1 3.77 -3 2.88 +3 0.77 +3 1.71 +2 4 1.11
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Dow Tumbles Right On Cue
Adam Tremaine, November 25th, 2011
On 4 November I showed this chart and said “The Dow is approaching the top of its trend channel and although it may reach 12,150, all the risk is to the downside. The bear market rally that began in October is over.” Since then the Dow bounced perfectly off the
Posted in Blog, Featured, Stocks, Technical Analysis, Ways to bet
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Quote of the Week: Happy Thanksgiving In a Turkey of a Year_
Zak Vora, November 24th, 2011
USD HKD AUD NZD SGD EUR 1 0.74 +31 0.52 +12 3.72 -137 2.50 -36 0.32 -17 1.60 -24 2 0.79 -11 0.64 -21 3.69 -158 2.64 -72 0.52 -37 1.57 -73 3 0.85 -61 0.83 -55 3.80 -159 2.85 -89 0.74 -55 1.69 -90 4 1.06 -89 1.04 -83