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- How Much Higher Will The Dow Go?
- We Are In The Eye Of The Global Financial Storm
- Now Is A Great Time To Be Buying Gold Stocks
- So Why Have Gold Stocks Performed So Badly Versus The Actual Metal?
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Archive for February, 2012
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Greek Bailout: Greece Will Stay In A Depression Until It Defaults & Devalues
Ben Mountifield, February 29th, 2012
Though there is no agreed definition of the term depression, several have been proposed. These include: A decline in real GDP of at least 10% A recession (economic contraction) lasting two or more years An unemployment rate that reaches or exceeds 20% By any of these definitions Greece is now
Posted in Blog, Featured, Fundamental Analysis, Monetary Policy, News
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Silver Miner Looks Set For 50% Gain
Adam Tremaine, February 28th, 2012
Mexican silver miner, Endeavour Silver (NYSE: EXK, TSX: EDR), has traced out a multi-week symmetrical triangle pattern, something which is potentially very bullish and could lead to a 50% rise in the stock. A symmetrical triangle pattern is typically formed after a big move up or down, when neither the
Posted in Blog, Commodities, Featured, Precious Metals, Spread Betting, Stocks, Technical Analysis, Tips, Ways to bet
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Uncertain Outlook Makes Companies Hoard Cash. Can You Blame Them?
Ben Mountifield, February 27th, 2012
Business Spending Falls As Companies Hoard Cash (Can you blame them?) Figures published by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) on Friday showed that business spending in the final quarter of 2011 fell 5.6% to £28.7 billion. Rather than invest in new projects, staff, or plant and equipment, companies are
Posted in Blog, Featured, Fundamental Analysis, Monetary Policy, News
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Silver ETF Poised For Major Move Higher
Ben Mountifield, February 24th, 2012
The popular silver ETF SLV looks to be poised for a major move higher. SLV has already risen 34% since the end of December 2011 following the precious metal higher on strong demand and tight supply. As the chart below shows, SLV has just broken out above the blue downtrend
Posted in Blog, Featured, Precious Metals, Technical Analysis, Tips, Ways to bet
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How Much Higher Will The Dow Go?
Ben Mountifield, February 23rd, 2012
The Dow Jones Industrial Average is up 5.9% already this year and it has hardly paused for breath. The question is, how much higher will it go? The Trend Is Your Friend Market participants, particularly those adopting a trend following strategy, often use the expression “the trend is your friend”
Posted in Blog, Featured, Stocks, Technical Analysis, Ways to bet
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We Are In The Eye Of The Global Financial Storm
Ben Mountifield, February 22nd, 2012
The First Storm Front The first storm front hit early in 2007 when homebuyers in the US started missing their mortgage repayments. The first to suffer were those lenders that had specialised in the riskiest, “subprime” loans, such as the so-called NINJA loans – a slang term for a loan
Posted in Blog, Featured, Fundamental Analysis, Monetary Policy
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Now Is A Great Time To Be Buying Gold Stocks
Ben Mountifield, February 21st, 2012
As I reported yesterday, gold stocks, as measured by the HUI Index, have not kept up with the performance of the metal. However, in my opinion this is about to change. In fact, I expect gold stocks to play catch up in spectacular fashion over the next 12 to 18
Posted in Blog, Featured, Precious Metals, Stocks, Tips, Ways to bet
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So Why Have Gold Stocks Performed So Badly Versus The Actual Metal?
Ben Mountifield, February 20th, 2012
Gold stocks, as measured by the HUI Index, are at their cheapest level in almost three years relative to the price of the actual metal. The question is: Why have gold stocks performed so badly versus the actual metal? And what does this mean for those investing in the sector?
Posted in Blog, Featured, Precious Metals, Stocks, Ways to bet
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The Growing Derivatives Time Bomb: Perhaps The Biggest Thing For Investors to Worry About
Ben Mountifield, February 19th, 2012
Investors today have plenty of things to worry about, however perhaps the biggest is the growing derivatives time bomb. The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) publishes a list of outstanding derivatives twice a year, and their latest report reveals that the total notional value of outstanding derivatives has increased from
Posted in Blog, Derivatives, Featured
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Financial Repression Has Redefined Risk
Ben Mountifield, February 17th, 2012
The deliberate policy of financial repression which has been adopted by the British government (and many others around the world) has redefined the conventional notion of risk. Key to a successful policy of financial repression are negative real interest rates, that is, interest rates well below the rate of inflation,
Posted in Blog, Bonds, Featured, Monetary Policy